The Fabled Dream

Home ownership is sometimes used as a proxy for achieving the promised prosperity; ownership has been a status symbol separating the middle classes from the poor. (Wikipedia)

This is a pretty good statement. Instead of achieving actual prosperity — we can trick ourselves into believing we are prosperous by ‘owning’ a home.

By owning of course we mean borrowing a pile of money from the bank for 15-30 years. Then when the bank is paid off we still pay property taxes (rent) to our local municipality. This purported dream, which is just a trick we use to make ourselves feel better about working 9-5 is really just another trick in itself.

After all we’ve been through – the significance of this lie, this American dream is still touted.

I ran across some spam in a Craigslist rental forum today:

Aloha,

As a military member, why would you rent for 3 years with the possibility of an extension and give away your money to a “Stranger”!

Interest rates are still currently 3.75 %, so take advantage while their still low!

Enjoy the tax benefits of owning a property when you file your takes!

I can locate a property for almost what you would pay in rent but the benefit is you own it!

Use your BAH to pay for your mortgage and combined with VA, which will give you 100% financing with 0% down, so why rent a when you can own!!

Let your BAH work for you!

Do you all know your benefits with the VA?? Please call me to explain them to you.

My goal is to assist military families with the step-by-step process of purchasing and financing a property, thus owning a property for 3+ years will definitely give you the possibility and potential of accruing equity!

As a Veteran, I know the ins & outs of being a military member, so it’s been an asset in assisting the military community through educating them with the VA benefits & process; as well as
re-establishing their credit.

VA criteria is a minimum credit score of 620 and be gainfully employed.
The 911 G.I. Bill cannot be used to pursue a purchase.

Please give me a call to schedule a “FREE” consultation.

Felix Fernandez
Realtor Associate
Certified Military Market Specialist
Coldwell Bankers Pacific
(808) 779-4495 Cellular

Where do I begin? At the top I suppose:

As a military member, why would you rent for 3 years with the possibility of an extension and give away your money to a “Stranger”!

We’ve all heard this referendum over and over throughout the years. Why should we give our money away to some stranger? Further, why not apply this to all facets of our lives? I mean why give our money away to those cell phone company strangers when we can just buy our own cell towers? Why give our money away to these stranger grocery stores when we can just grow our own food? And why the hell am I giving away all my money to these stranger oil companies when I can just buy an oil rig?

Don’t fool yourself. You are receiving value for the money you pay for rent. The level of value depends on the situation, but either way these strangers are providing a service. But if you or anyone you know actually does give your money away to strangers for nothing please e-mail me and I will be happy to help.

I can locate a property for almost what you would pay in rent but the benefit is you own it!

So, I get to pay even more than what I paid renting before any maintenance, association fees, utilities, etc.? Where else would this argument hold water?

My goal is to assist military families with the step-by-step process of purchasing and financing a property, thus owning a property for 3+ years will definitely give you the possibility and potential of accruing equity!

Both possibility AND potential? Well at least he isn’t guaranteeing it – he just fails to mention the possibility and potential of NEGATIVE equity!

C`mon Felix your goal is really to earn a commission, assisting military families with the ‘step-by-step process of purchasing and financing a property’ is what you do to earn it. I challenge you to prove that your stated goal is fact – waive your commission and I’ll be proven wrong!

And about that commission thing. Are you really going to help me get the best price for a home? Knowing that every dollar you save me is a money lost out of your pocket? Such a gaping conflict of interest – its a wonder how real estate value has been propped up for so many years.

Certified Military Market Specialist

Self-proclaimed ‘Certified Military Market Specialist’?

Look, Felix – You’re probably not a bad guy, but you are selling snake oil …and you shamelessly spam rental forums with your personal contact information.

Also it’s clear I’m not the only one who has a problem with your ad (here are some of the follow-ups):

Too risky for anyone to buy if they will be moving from Hawaii in a few years.

As a member of the military why would you buy in Hawaii instead of renting?

Too risky for the military to buy in Hawaii. You might have trouble selling and losing money when it’s time to leave.

Now let’s keep in mind he spammed a rental forum and these are likely landlords replying, but they are not wrong. The possibility of negative equity over a 3 year period is very significant. You have to figure that at a 5-6% realtor commission (pesky realtors) your house would have to appreciate at least that much just to break even. This isn’t even counting the ‘almost’ factor Felix mentions, which implies your already paying more to ‘own’ than to rent to begin with. It doesn’t include the money you’ve put into the house either. So we are easily around 10% here to just break even – in 3 years!

This is on a high risk investment that could easily (much more easily) go the other direction over that three year period.

All of a sudden this isn’t a dream — it’s a nightmare.

Rep Grayson

More from Grayson<object width=”425″ height=”344″><param name=”movie” value=”http://www.youtube.com/v/PXlxBeAvsB8&color1=0xb1b1b1&color2=0xcfcfcf&hl=en&feature=player_embedded&fs=1″></param><param name=”allowFullScreen” value=”true”></param><embed src=”http://www.youtube.com/v/PXlxBeAvsB8&color1=0xb1b1b1&color2=0xcfcfcf&hl=en&feature=player_embedded&fs=1″ type=”application/x-shockwave-flash” allowfullscreen=”true” width=”425″ height=”344″></embed></object>

15 seats, none for single-payer

We’d love more of this! <video>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKP05AyfRsI</video>

Gingrich in 2012

You Douche!

Douche!

We could have drank at the bar we’ve always gone to and spent half the fucking money, but NO…

Burn the Books!

This is so fun to watch! One of those ‘tea parties’

Mark to market accounting

Rep. Grayson hits this out of the park again…pay attention to what is said after the 4th minute especially

Keep an eye out for this guy

Nice clips – a freshman Rep from Florida

Best scene in the movie ‘Network’

You have meddled with the primary forces of nature, Mr Beale, and I won’t have it!

Read, don’t watch

This is why you’re a fool to even watch this channel. It is a bullhorn for lies that corporate America would love to have spread around. I’m so glad that I don’t recognize any of these people.

Frank hits it on the head

Bailout:

Keating Economics

Yup

USA

Midnight Rider

Moby Dick

Lehman Brothers Files for Bankruptcy

This is going to be the focus tomorrow…buckle your seat belts! Trying to get it right in my head over the weekend wasn’t easy, until Sunday night came and there was no announcement to be made out of the Treasury Dept…here’s my take:

I picked up a couple of different scenarios that sounded possible, but the theme throughout seemed to be that the banking community had to come together and each eat a piece of Lehman’s worst ABS…apparently an altruistic streak runs through all great bankers…wow…What I’m worrying about is that the market has been trading w/ the impression that the treasury will consume the bad deals and coordinate like they did with Bear Sterns. Moral hazard is front and center, since Merrill bit the bullet and sold it’s distressed holdings for 30 cents on the dollar, there hasn’t been another one of these cleansings that has made news since then. The fact that Merrill could find buyers for what it had to get off of its books, means that Lehman can find a market once they decide to stop playing games…all I read is that ABS (CMO, CMBS, CDO, etc) are too complex to compare the holdings of one firm to another…this is a bad argument to use against the government or short sellers who are demanding that the firm mark those assets to market. Once Merrill was able to move its distressed debt to others in the market, the music stopped…no more ragtime

Don’t believe the hype

idiot

Holdings 7/16/08

Two more transactions for this morning. Diversifying further out of gold, increasing stake in BAM and keeping cash on hand.

A Nervous Man

Ten Years Ago, Bin Laden Demanded Barrel Of Oil Should Cost $144

(TP) “In a 1998 interview, Osama bin Laden — the terrorist organizer of 9/11 who still roams free — listed as one of his many grievances against the U.S. that Americans “have stolen $36 trillion from Muslims” by purchasing oil from Persian Gulf countries at low prices. The real price of a barrel of oil should be $144, bin Laden demanded. Ten years ago today, the price of a barrel of oil was just $11. Heading into this holiday weekend, the price of a barrel of oil rested at $144 — a thirteen-fold increase. One month after 9/11, the New York Times wrote of possible “nightmare” scenarios that would deliver bin Laden’s goal. Neela Banerjee warned that among the “misguided decisions” that would put oil supplies at risk would be “that the United States attacks Iraq.” The Times included this quote in its story:

“If bin Laden takes over and becomes king of Saudi Arabia, he’d turn off the tap,” said Roger Diwan, a managing director of the Petroleum Finance Company, a consulting firm in Washington. “He said at one point that he wants oil to be $144 a barrel” — about six times what it sells for now.

Bad Month

fjfjfjfjf
U.S. stocks tumbled, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its worst June since the Great Depression, as record oil prices, credit-market write downs and a slowing economy threatened to extend a yearlong profit slump…Initial jobless claims totaled 384,000 in the week ended June 21, unchanged from the previous week’s tally that was higher than previously estimated, the Labor Department said. The total number of people collecting benefits rose by 82,000 to 3.139 million in the week ended June 14, the highest since February 2004. -Bloomberg

High Gas Prices = Less Demand

Rove made this observation here…I found a nice chart on Think Progress pertaining to this:

high gas prices

Buffett Says Credit Crisis Ebbs for Wall Street Firms

By Josh P. Hamilton and Betty Liu – May 3 (Bloomberg) — Warren Buffett, chief executive officer of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said the global credit crunch has eased for bankers, and the Federal Reserve probably averted more failures by helping to rescue Bear Stearns Cos.

“The worst of the crisis in Wall Street is over,” Buffett said today on Bloomberg Television. “In terms of people with individual mortgages, there’s a lot of pain left to come.” Buffett was interviewed before the Omaha, Nebraska-based company’s annual meeting, attended by about 31,000 people.
Read More

I’ve got a trade on the way

Selling at least half of the gold. Buying Transocean (w/in a week or two), natural gas producers (basket – ETF, Russian play, NGS?), BAM (Brookfield Asset Management), long Yen short USD (looking for an ETF)…selling 15% of the IAU shares and turning 5% into shares of BAM at the opening price.

16,337 shares IAU, $1,506,108.06 (closed at 92.19)
2,450 shares sold at opening price 4/10/08
3,350 shares BAM bought at opening price 4/10/08

more to come…

Obama’s speech on economics

Yup

Gold Closes Over 1000

 IAU_20080315
IAU_1mo_2008031524hourSpotGold_20080315USDtoEUR_1mo_20080315

+16.72% since November ’07

November 27, 2007 – I liquidated the portfolio and put it all into gold, ending with 16,337 shares of IAU – avg price $77.70 Total Value – $1,329,020.80 – (The fantasy portfolio had gained 20.16% since it’s inception in February ’07 with $1,106,000)

Current Value – $1,551,292.37 – 16.72% since 11/27/07 – 40.26% since 2/21/07

My view hasn’t changed. There is no reason to be confident enough to enter the stock market at this point. My advice…check your 401K options and see if you can park it all in an ‘Inflation Protected Bond Fund’ or short of that, a money market account.

IAU

Alan Greenspan – Professional Douchebag

How much of an asshole is this guy? Bernanke and Paulson are testifying before Congress, the former having just slashed 125 basis points off the Fed rate faster than any central banker in history…every week brings out the discovery of another body (UBS being the latest). As if they didn’t have enough to worry about:

Greenspan says U.S. on the edge of recession

And who are the nitwits handling other peoples’ money for a living, traveling or paying to hear Greenspan’s take on anything? They should all be fired first thing tomorrow!

Halliburton Steals Information from Petrobas (PBR)

If someone just made this story up…

(Reuters) – Brazil’s state oil company Petrobras (PETR4.SA: Quote, Profile, Research)(PBR.N: Quote, Profile, Research), said Thursday that computers containing “important information” of oil and gas field research off the Brazilian coast were stolen. “There was a theft of equipment that contained important information for the company,” Petrobras confirmed by phone. “The event is under investigation.” The company said it has copies of the stolen data but did not specify the nature of the data.

…The subsalt cluster has aroused strong interest from the oil industry after Petrobras said, in late 2007, it had recoverable reserves at between 5 billion and 8 billion barrels of light crude in the Tupi field and in-place reserves of up to 20 billion barrels. [ID:nN23604539]

(CNN) The objects were being transported by U.S. oilfield service company Halliburton Co. (HAL), the Web site said. The hardware contained confidential information on research that led to recent discoveries of massive new oil and gas fields in ultra-deep waters off the Brazilian coast, Terra said, without giving sources.

Harper’s Weekly Review (part)

Bush“…Dwarf thieves had infested Swedish buses,9 Lithuania was pondering changing its name,10 and a plot by retired Turkish Army officers to kill Nobel Laureate Orhan Pamuk was foiled. 11 Police in Malda, India, were battling avian flu by conducting a poultry massacre. “We have planned to collect ‘backyard chickens’ from the houses in the evening and kill all of them late at night,” said the district’s deputy director of animal-resources development, N. K. Shit.12 George Piro, the FBI field agent who interrogated Saddam Hussein, recalled his last meeting with the Iraqi dictator, when the two smoked cigars and Saddam kissed Piro on the cheek three times. “It made me feel,” he said, “somewhat awkward.” (by Christian Lorentzen)

Scott Horton is without a doubt my favorite writer at the moment. Harper’s online has his work up for free on the site’s front page. You can find out why John Yoo hasn’t come over for dinner lately. Keynesian economics, Leo Strauss, J$hn Ashcr$ft, Afghanistan, “Blitzwasser” or hot-water incident (so named for the kettles of boiling water that the citizens threw at federal tax collectors), Don Siegelman

Mississippi mud

mississippi mud

This is a good one…

(Lead Story – NYTimes Sunday Business Section – By NELSON D. SCHWARTZ) …Linking Mr. Scruggs, Mr. Patterson and other figures in the case is an obscure former college football star, farmer and politically well-connected adviser to Mr. Scruggs named Presley L. Blake (Google Search). At the hearing on Tuesday, prosecutors described Mr. Blake as a key go-between in an elaborate bribery plot, and they are now examining his ties to Mr. Scruggs. No charges have been brought against Mr. Blake.The story of Mr. Blake, who has received at least $10 million from Mr. Scruggs, threatens to reveal just how Mr. Scruggs worked the political back rooms of Mississippi — and Washington — to win a huge settlement with cigarette makers that garnered him approximately $1 billion in fees as well as a role in “The Insider,” the 1999 movie about the battle with Big Tobacco. Mr. Scruggs’s connections have never been a secret: his brother-in-law is former Senator Trent Lott, Republican of Mississippi. But the expansion of the investigation is especially significant because for Mr. Scruggs, law and politics have been closely intertwined…

Bad Behavior has blocked 471 access attempts in the last 7 days.